Vice-presidente dos EUA faz ainda uma lista de quatro pontos que, segundo ele, têm a capacidade de trazer mais eleitores para o Partido Republicano após a expressiva derrota nas Intercalares
Não demorou muito.
O vice-presidente JD Vance publicou na quarta-feira, no X, uma extraordinária análise pós-eleitoral que se revelou uma tentativa evidente de se distanciar de Trump e de salvar as suas esperanças de se tornar o candidato republicano em 2028.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
— JD Vance (@JDVance) November 4, 2026
Criticou duramente as táticas de campanha do Partido Republicano e as suas mensagens económicas, argumentando que o partido estava desligado do sofrimento da nação, num momento em que os custos disparavam. Todas estas decisões estratégicas foram tomadas pelo presidente.
E, de forma muito direta, escreveu: "A razão pela qual perdemos foi a guerra" – apontando o dedo à decisão mais marcante do segundo mandato do presidente Donald Trump.
O vice-presidente apresentou quatro pontos que, segundo ele, trariam os eleitores republicanos de volta ao partido.
"1) Acabar com a guerra
2) Concentrar-se no custo de vida/inflação
3) Colocar a América em primeiro lugar
4) Mudar a nossa relação com Israel."
A sua crítica não se destinava, claramente, apenas a sugerir que sempre se opôs à guerra - que provocou os elevados preços da gasolina que arruinaram as esperanças do Partido Republicano. Foi uma tentativa clara de chegar à ala isolacionista, ligada a Tucker Carlson, do que resta da coligação MAGA, que, inicialmente, se sentiu atraída pelo mantra de Trump de "chega de guerras no estrangeiro".
A questão, após o desastre do Partido Republicano na terça-feira, é, no entanto, se alguém associado de alguma forma à impopular guerra no Irão - e isto inclui o Secretário de Estado Marco Rubio - seria capaz de justificar a situação durante a campanha eleitoral de 2028. E será que Vance, que, para dizer o mínimo, tem tendência para a reinvenção política, conseguirá fazê-lo novamente?
Ontem, as pessoas brincavam dizendo que a campanha presidencial de 2028 começaria na quarta-feira de manhã. JD Vance acabou de tornar isso realidade
